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From Kelly Farm Consulting

Updated: Jun 23, 2023

LESSONS LEARNT FROM SUMMER 2022

As the hot weather continues, we are all having flashbacks to 2022 – a year of record low rainfall with long range forecasts indicating that drier conditions could continue towards the end of June. Whilst the dry weather has allowed farmers to harvest silage and establish maize crops following a very wet March and April, we are now seeing grass growth decline and some maize crops begin to struggle. We thought that now might be a good time to highlight some of the lessons we learned last year:

  1. The first relates to transition cows, we saw a significant flattening of the lactation curves of July-September calving animals. Whilst these animals will catch up and surpass predicted yields later in lactation, there was a lot of lost milk in the post-calving period. To combat this, farmers should be more generous with offering straw or lower quality silage in the early dry period for any animals out grazing if grass growth continues to decline. It is also important that water access is a priority, as well as shade if temperatures increase. In certain situations, bringing animals inside and onto transition rations earlier than normal might also allow cows a longer period to adjust – but do not overcrowd dry cow buildings.

  2. It is important that leys are not over-grazed. Overgrazing during prolonged dry or drought-like conditions can not only increase the risk of soil erosion through reduced cover, but also result in plants drying out. Over-grazed grasses also put down fewer roots than well-managed leys which is a particular concern in new leys. Care should be taken to ensure that leys are not overgrazed as grass growth slows (AHDB have already reported that grass growth has slowed by nearly 60kg DM/ha in the last month, we are now 20kg DM/ha behind 2022 figures) Leaving sufficient residuals following grazing will also allow for better grass growth once the weather (hopefully) changes. Stocking rates need to be considered carefully, as well as buffer feeding.

  3. It is also important to consider how you fertilise or apply manure to any silage aftermath. We have seen quite a lot of fertilisers sat in leys following cuts of silage this year. Applying slurry to re-emerging grass can burn new leaves in hot or dry conditions, there is also the possibility of increasing nitrogen losses through volatilisation (Nitrogen converted to ammonia gas). Using a dribble bar or slurry injector can help reduce these losses as slurry is directly deposited on or below the soil. However, ideally slurry should be applied when moisture levels are sufficient.

Alongside the above lessons, it is still important to remember the fundamentals of managing livestock in hot and dry weather, especially ensuring that water is both clean and plentiful. Around yards, fans or sprinklers might be a worthwhile investment, as well as making sure that buildings are well-ventilated. The hottest place for the cows is the collecting yard, so if it is possible we suggest splitting the herd so that you have less in there at one time. We are hoping to avoid some of the challenges that we experienced in 2022. However, if weather conditions provide another challenging year, we can at least focus on the lessons learned from last drought to ensure that businesses can operate as productively as ever.

Written by Charlie Davies

WHOLECROP

Another topic that needs addressing is the harvesting of cereal crops as wholecrop to mitigate low silage stocks. This will likely be an individual farm level decision based on the condition of maize crops, silage carry over from 2022 and the cost of establishing the cereal crop. However, with maize crops already being marketed for over £900/acre, purchasing additional silage for the winter will be expensive and challenging to source. When harvesting wholecrop, there are a few targets to aim for:

  • Crops should be harvested between 30 and 45% DM.

  • Crop should just be starting to turn yellow in cover.

  • Grain should be at a “soft cheese” consistency (typically this occurs 4-6 weeks pre harvest but could be variable this year).

If you are harvesting over 35% DM, use a forager with a whole crop processor to avoid grains coming through. If you don’t have a processor available, then cut the crop when grains are still milky, yield might be slightly lower - but the cows will get more out of it! Grain development will be important to monitor in crops as, depending on soil moisture levels, crops could have lower yields than expected. The moisture level of the crop is also vital, harvesting the crop too dry (or mature) will lead to poor fermentation and a poorly digestible feed in the clamp. A late harvest will also result in over-mature grains which could be difficult for the animal to digest (despite analysing quite well). Ultimately, harvesting some cereals as wholecrop this year could help reduce the issues with low silage stocks. However, harvesting at the correct crop maturity stage is vital, as well as ensuring that cashflows are not negatively impacted by the missing grain sales.

Written by Charlie Davies

For help with assessing silage stocks or help with managing this hot, dry spell, please get in touch with the team!

Charlie Davies 07904 601104 charlie@kellyfarmconsulting.com Laura Cureton 07399 117257 laura@kellyfarmconsulting.com Sam Kelly 07777 696080 sam@kellyfarmconsulting.com

Office 01454 614624

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Many farmers will have experienced the knock-on affects from last years turbulent weather. Certainly, many of our clients have found themselves with a reduced level of silage carry over compared to other years.


This puts farmers in a precarious position, with little insurance should there be another period of extreme weather this year. Therefore, it is important that farmers plan ahead whilst looking to re-build silage stocks for the winter without compromising on quality. As the majority of the farmers across the South-West are turning their attention towards 2023 1st cut, it is great to see so many of our clients are still emphasising quality rather than focussing on quantity to rebuild stocks.


But whilst improving the quality of silage can result in improvements of milk from forage and a reduction in the quantity of concentrate required, it is also important to ensure that this forage is fed to animals that can make the best use of it.


Therefore, it is important to consider a number of factors ahead of housing this winter, including:


  • How many beef animals will be on the farm this winter? How profitable is this enterprise?

  • What number of dairy replacements will be kept? Do you plan to bring all of them into the herd?

  • How strict is your culling plan? Are there animals in the herd that might not be justifying their place?

Once you have an idea of stocking rates this winter, you can compare this requirement to your current stocks (whilst ensuring you replace the buffer of grass silage lost this winter). For example, housing a 200 head dairy herd for 6 months of the year eating roughly 15kg (DM) of forage at 30% DM will equate to 1,830T of silage.


If it looks unlikely that you will have enough conserved forage to sustain these animals over the winter, then now might be the time to consider altering numbers to something more sustainable. This could include thinning beef numbers before the winter, which could also provide more land for a later cut of silage to help improve silage stocks.


Another consideration is the breakeven yield within the herd. Calculating this value will help ensure that cull animals are removed from the herd at the best possible time, balancing forage use with increased cull value from a bigger animal. This calculation will also make sure that forage and other assets will be used in the animals that can make the best use of them.


In order to calculate the breakeven yield, we first need to calculate the following:


  • Feed costs (concentrate & forage).

  • Electric cost.

  • Vet & Med.

Looking at these figures allow us to calculate the marginal cost of keeping one less cow. Other costs such as youngstock feed, bedding or labour costs are unlikely to be changed significantly if one cow is removed. These costs can be calculated on a per animal basis over 12 months and then divided to a cost/day. We can then calculate the breakeven yield required to cover these costs.


For assistance in forage budgeting, then please get in touch!


Charlie Davies


07904 601104


charlie@kellyfarmconsulting.com




Laura Cureton


07399 117257


laura@kellyfarmconsulting.com



Sam Kelly


07777 696080


sam@kellyfarmconsulting.com



Office 01454 614624


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Updated: Jun 23, 2023

Samples taken up to 26 April 2022


This week has seen yet another change in weather, with rain seen in most regions. Some farmers managed to get an early cut completed following our last newsletter. However, this has not been the case for everyone.


According to the AHDB, grass growth rates have continued to rise quickly. Whilst this week’s figure (61kg DM/ha per day) is ahead of the 2017-2021 average growth rate, we are still marginally behind the figures for 2022. Grass quality across the country is fairly even with an average energy content of 12.1MJ/kg DM.


Our results show that all but the sample taken in Cornwall are well above our 3% sugar at 30% DM target and as mentioned in our previous newsletter, nitrates in our samples are low and suitable to cut. However, this figure will vary depending on nitrogen applications, so please ensure that you take samples if you are concerned.


Our advice is to cut as soon as the next weather window allows! Targeting a 30% DM crop with a 24–36-hour wilt, any extra time wilting, and sugar levels will begin to fall. If you plan to apply slurry following cutting, this needs to be done as soon as possible to avoid the risk of coating the first regrowth leaf in slurry which could affect the fermentation of second cut.


If you wish to send in any fresh grass samples, then please let us know! If you have any existing sample bags, then please tick the pre-cut analysis box on the information sheet.



Maize Drilling

Soil temperature data looks to indicate that soils are sufficiently warm enough to begin drilling maize, with some crops under plastic already being established. Historically, we always set an earliest start date for maize drilling of the 20th of April which has now passed. Soils can vary from location to location, so there are still several factors to consider.

  1. If you are in a frost pocket then hold off for another week or 10 days, frost scorch can hold the crop back by several weeks. Daytime temperatures look to be consistently above 15oC with little rain for the coming fortnight which could present a good establishment opportunity in most areas.

  2. If the maize is going in after a cut of silage the get that silage off very soon before the grass sucks out all the moisture from the soil.

  3. If the grass field is productive, even if only a cover crop of Italians last autumn, should you even be replanting with maize? How much maize do you actually need as growing more grass and less maize could save a lot of expensive protein next winter. Replenishing forage stocks is also a big consideration on a lot of farms this year, so forage budgeting is essential!

  4. Starter fertiliser – Whilst fertiliser prices have eased back slightly from the highs we saw last year, it will still be important to calculate whether this will be required if slurry has been used as responses can be marginal.

If you have any questions, please feel free to contact us!


What happens to BPS after 2023?

As we approach the 2023 BPS deadline, we thought it a poignant time to explain what will happen once BPS comes to an end after the 2023 scheme year. Going forwards, ‘delinked payments’ will replace the usual Basic Payment Scheme. i.e., payments will no longer be linked to land or entitlements. This will mean you do not need any land or entitlements to receive payments in the coming years, as the plan is to simplify the payments until they are eventually phased out in 2027. The delinked payments will be calculated based on your BPS payments received in 2020, 2021 and 2022. This is what is known as the ‘reference period.’ It is to note that your delinked payments will not be affected if:

  • Your farm size changes

  • The land use changes

  • You decide to stop farming

However, you must claim BPS in 2023 to continue to receive the delinked payments up until 2027.


The RPA will also continue to apply gradual reductions on your delinked payments each year. To find out how this affects you and to calculate what your delinked payments will be in the coming years, contact a member of the Kelly Farm Consulting Team.


If you have any queries on any of the above topics, then please do not hesitate to get in touch with the Kelly Farm Consulting Team!



Charlie Davies 07904 601104 charlie@kellyfarmconsulting.com Laura Cureton 07399 117257 laura@kellyfarmconsulting.com Sam Kelly 07777 696080 sam@kellyfarmconsulting.com


Office 01454 614624

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Kelly Farm Consulting 

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